Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 11

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Taubaté		Santo André

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.11	3.67
	2.17	3.09	3.25	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.3
	2.13	2.99	3.36	Watch
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.45)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	3.35 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Taubaté
42.8%

Draw
30.1%

Santo André
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santo André might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santo André could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taubaté - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Felipe Santana ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Taubaté could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.26	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Votuporanguense - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Taubaté - Ituano	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Linense - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLLT
- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.26	Santo André - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Osasco Sporting - Santo André	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ituano - Santo André	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santo André - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Santo André - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.07.25	Santo André - Taubaté	1:1
20.06.25	Taubaté - Santo André	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.01.25	Santo André - Taubaté	0:1

Taubaté - Santo André: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide