Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 10Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday
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 |
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 |
|
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Taubaté |
|
São Caetano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
1.71 |
|
 |
3.45 |
3.15 |
1.98 |
|
 |
3.26 |
2.98 |
2.16 |
|
 |
3.18 |
3.10 |
2.23 |
 Watch |
 |
3.72 |
3.13 |
1.96 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3.03 |
2.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.74) |
3.17 ↑
(3.08) |
2.07 ↓
(2.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Taubaté
26.8% | Draw
28.9% | São Caetano
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taubaté's form might have worsened.São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Caetano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taubaté, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Caetano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Taubaté - São Caetano Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - São Caetano (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - São Caetano (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Caetano (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Vitor Gottems ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Lima V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
São Caetano is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 2.Taubaté has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).São Caetano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).São Caetano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Taubaté won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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