Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Taunton Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.50	2.30
	2.52	3.40	2.30
	2.56	3.50	2.45
	2.59	3.65	2.44	Watch
	2.50	3.35	2.40
	2.49	3.48	2.31
	2.55	3.55	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.45)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
35.8%

Draw
25.9%

Bath City
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

23.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Taunton Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Wilson S. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Parsons H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, Robinson S. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Wilson D. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 11th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Taunton has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Taunton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bath	9	5	2	2	13:8	5	17
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Bath City - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
15.08.26	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW
- Bath City
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Frome Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bath City - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bath City - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.25	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:0
English National League South
01.04.24	Taunton Town - Bath City	0:2
24.10.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	3:0
07.04.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	0:2
27.09.22	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:1

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