Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday


	Taunton Town		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.46
	6	4.33	1.47	Watch
	5.8	4.23	1.54
	5.8	4.23	1.54
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	6.86	4.25	1.44
	6	4.2	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (2.83)	4.21 ↑ (3.3)	1.47 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
15.1%

Draw
22%

Yeovil Town
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taunton Town's form might have worsened.

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yeovil Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yeovil Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	3.4%	51.7%

Taunton Town - Yeovil Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Taunton will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). Yeovil will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yeovil: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taunton won 2.

Taunton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yeovil is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Taunton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
06.01.24	Slough Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Taunton Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLW
- Yeovil Town
English National League South
06.01.24	Yeovil Town - Bath City	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Eastbourne Borough - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Yeovil Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Dartford - Yeovil Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	1:0
15.10.22	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	0:0
Club Friendly
12.07.22	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	0:0
11.09.20	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	2:1
23.07.19	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	0:2

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