Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 16

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.5	3.25	2.37
	2.55	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.59	3.4	2.66
	2.57	3.39	2.66
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.52	3.42	2.55
	2.55	3.35	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.97)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
36.3%

Draw
27%

Farnborough
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taunton Town's form might have worsened.

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farnborough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farnborough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taunton Town - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taunton won 2.

Recent matches Taunton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farnborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Taunton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
25.11.23	Taunton Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL
- Farnborough
English National League South
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
25.11.23	Farnborough - Bath City	2:2 ✺
21.11.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Slough Town - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Yeovil Town - Farnborough	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.02.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	0:2
16.08.22	Farnborough - Taunton Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
23.04.22	Taunton Town - Farnborough	2:1
11.09.21	Farnborough - Taunton Town	3:2
10.10.20	Farnborough - Taunton Town	0:1
11.03.20	Farnborough - Taunton Town	4:0
05.10.19	Taunton Town - Farnborough	3:1

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