Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Huish Park (Yeovil)


	Yeovil Town		Bath City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.77	3.55	4.55
	1.78	3.55	4.56
	1.67	3.5	4.33
	1.73	3.6	4.58
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.42)	3.49 ↓ (4.34)	4.46 ↓ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeovil Town
53.1%

Draw
26.3%

Bath City
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yeovil Town's form might have worsened.

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bath City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yeovil Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bath City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yeovil Town - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Bath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Yeovil is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Yeovil to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yeovil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeovil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeovil Town
English National League South
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1 ✺
23.12.23	Eastbourne Borough - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Yeovil Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Dartford - Yeovil Town	2:2 ✺
06.12.23	Bath City - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW
- Bath City
English National League South
01.01.24	Bath City - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Chippenham Town - Bath City	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Bath City - Welling United	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Bath City - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.12.23	Bath City - Yeovil Town	0:1
Club Friendly
22.09.20	Yeovil Town - Bath City	3:0

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