Match Info

I Lyga - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Tauras Tauragė		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.67	3.81	4.01
	1.77	3.62	3.97	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.85	3.84	3.59
	1.9	3.5	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
51.2%

Draw
25%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Krasikov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Tauras will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Garliava	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Tauras Tauragė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	FA Šiauliai B - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0
31.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:1
14.09.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:2
27.04.24	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:1

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