The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Team TG 11.6%
Draw 17.7%
Karlberg 70.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
22.9%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
22.1%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Team TG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team TG's form might have worsened.
Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlberg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Team TG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Team TG - Karlberg Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Team TG (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Team TG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jerner A. (G) 8. Afshari T. 4. Berglin W. 14. Carrick E. 12. Hansson E. 9. Kamf V. 10. Lindgren T. 21. Mossnelid A. 17. Naslund A. 34. Naslund P. (C) 37. Wolf-Watz M.
31. Gkoulios A. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 3. Hellgren I. 21. Khan A. 6. Mbye M. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 16. Rydell A. 26. Ward K. 4. Westerberg J.
Substitutes
80. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 15. Haglund N. 7. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 13. Lidman A. (G) 6. Mumand H. 19. Nihorimbere L. 77. Rafael T.
14. Allard J. 35. Bojang E. (G) 15. Hall V. 11. Muyenga A. 8. Negash N. 20. Othman R. 24. Sietsema L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Mbye M. ⚽, Rydell A. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Wolf-Watz M. ⚽, Carrick E. (A),
24', Carrick E. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Dudziak K. ⚽, Rydell A. (A),
38', 1 - 3, Dudziak K. ⚽, Rupia-Ellis A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mossnelid A. 🟨,
61', Mossnelid A. ↓, Rafael T. ↑,
61', Naslund P. ↓, Junghagen Pliatsikas A. ↑,
67', Rydell A. ↓, Othman R. ↑,
67', Geiger N. ↓, Negash N. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Rupia-Ellis A. ⚽, Khan A. (A),
76', Mbye M. ↓, Muyenga A. ↑,
76', Dudziak K. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
79', 2 - 4, Kamf V. ⚽, Afshari T. (A),
80', Berglin W. ↓, Nihorimbere L. ↑,
80', Lindgren T. ↓, Haglund N. ↑,
80', Naslund A. ↓, Mumand H. ↑,
83', Khan A. ↓, Allard J. ↑,
90+7', Hellgren I. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Team TG has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Karlberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Karlberg is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Karlberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Sweden
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Jerner A. (G) 
Afshari T. 
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