Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 24

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sola Arena (Karlstad) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Karlstad		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.90	4.60
	1.5	4.05	5.3
	1.49	4.45	5.91
	1.61	4.2	4.79	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.5
	1.53	4.31	5.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	4.22 ↑ (4.2)	5.27 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karlstad
60.6%

Draw
21.9%

Karlberg
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.1%

21.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

20.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Karlstad - Karlberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Karlberg (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 8. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 9. Carstrom J. 14. Hook I. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 26. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.	35. Bojang E. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 25. Hogberg F. 16. Jansson M. 19. Jemal A. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 12. Sequar A. (C) 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V.
Substitutes
10. Alvers O. 21. Gustafsson K. 17. Jatta N. 27. Kocys T. (G) 15. Maasland L. 12. Miguel W. 16. Modou F.	4. Backman A. 5. Basaric B. 23. Erlandsson A. 15. Hall V. 18. Lalic M. 21. Nilsson F. 1. Sederholm N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Kack Ofordu K. ⚽, Bark A. (A),
31', Kack Ofordu K. 🟨,
35', Negash N. 🟨,
45+2', Hook I. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 1, Jemal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Carstrom J. ↓, Miguel W. ↑,
69', Fernandez H. ↓, Nilsson F. ↑,
69', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Gustafsson K. ↑,
69', Zurmati S. ↓, Alvers O. ↑,
85', Negash N. ↓, Basaric B. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 11th).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Karlberg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Karlstad for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Karlstad has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:5 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karlstad against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Karlstad	28	12	8	8	42:31	11	44
11	Karlbergs	28	9	7	12	38:48	-10	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.09.26	Enköping - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLT
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.26	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Piteå - Karlberg	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.05.26	Karlberg - Karlstad	0:0
13.09.25	Karlstad - Karlberg	1:0
04.05.25	Karlberg - Karlstad	2:3
09.11.24	Karlberg - Karlstad	2:4
08.05.24	Karlstad - Karlberg	2:1

Upcoming Matches