Match Info

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Tecos FC		Cimarrones de Sonora 2

	1	X	2
	1.29	4	12
	1.47	3.1	7
	1.37	3.81	5.79
	1.38	3.81	5.79
	1.31	4.8	8.05
	1.45	3.3	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.82)	3.8 ↑ (3.3)	8.27 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tecos FC
65.4%

Draw
23.7%

Cimarrones de Sonora 2
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tecos FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tecos FC's performance.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cimarrones de Sonora 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tecos FC than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tecos FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora 2 than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cimarrones de Sonora 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: Tecos FC will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tecos FC won 5.

Tecos FC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tecos FC is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tecos FC won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tecos FC won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tecos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.24	Alacranes de Durango - Tecos FC	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Tecos FC - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Mexicali - Tecos FC	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLWL
- Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Correcaminos UAT 2	3:4 penalties ✺
06.03.24	Orgullo Reynosa - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	1:0 ✺
01.03.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Coras	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Real Apodaca - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Calor de San Pedro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.10.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Tecos FC	1:4
04.02.23	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Tecos FC	0:1
16.09.22	Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	4:1
05.03.22	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Tecos FC	0:1
29.10.21	Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	3:0
02.04.21	Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2	1:0
05.12.20	Cimarrones de Sonora 2 - Tecos FC	2:0

Tecos FC - Cimarrones de Sonora 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide