Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Tecos FC

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.46	2.49
	2.25	3.42	2.86	Watch
	2.39	3.34	2.53
	2.17	3.29	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	2.68 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
39.3%

Draw
26.8%

Tecos FC
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tecos FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tecos FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 2.

Leones Negros 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tecos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tecos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Leones Negros 2 - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Leones Negros 2 - Ensenada	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zapotlanejo - Leones Negros 2	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Leones Negros 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL
- Tecos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.11.25	Tecos FC - Los Cabos United	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Tigres de Álica - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Tecos FC - Tuzos UAZ	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Guerreros de Autlán - Tecos FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.25	Tecos FC - Leones Negros 2	2:1
16.10.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	2:1
02.03.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	1:0
29.09.23	Tecos FC - Leones Negros 2	4:0
18.02.23	Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC	0:2
28.09.22	Tecos FC - Leones Negros 2	0:3
28.01.22	Tecos FC - Leones Negros 2	1:1

Leones Negros 2 - Tecos FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide