Match Info

FNL - Round 12

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Tekstilshchik (Ivanovo)

Referee: Medvedev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo		Rotor

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.46	2.01
	3.75	3.35	1.97
	3.98	3.46	1.97	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (4.13)	3.34 ↓ (3.48)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
25%

Draw
28%

Rotor
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.7%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 2. Gapechkin A. (C) 74. Guziev E. 27. Krutovskikh A. 23. Ivannikov D. 46. Pershin N. 11. Kriushichev M. 30. Simonov D. 7. Dzhebov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 77. Biblik S.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 17. Pokidyshev N. 25. Emerson 24. Kleshchenko A. (C) 29. Khityaev A. 6. Umnikov M. 21. Gorelov P. 2. Manelov I. 10. Simonyan A. 18. Rodionov I. 11. Eldarushev A.
Substitutes
87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 21. Ivanisenia D. 78. Korneev A. 17. Mikhailusov A. 63. Nikitenkov A. 29. Nikitin K. 19. Noskov M. 66. Petin Y. 91. Pomalyuk A. 50. Pyatibratov D. 95. Volkov M. (G)	9. Aliev S. 8. Ayupov T. 26. Baytukov R. 7. Khokhlachev A. 28. Khubulov A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 5. Troshechkin A. 22. Tsaraev A. 4. Yudintsev G.
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.	Parfenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Dzhebov A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Rodionov I. ⚽,
44', Pershin N. ↓, Nikitenkov A. ↑,
45', Eldarushev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eldarushev A. ↓, Khubulov A. ↑,
46', Dzhebov A. ↓, Pomalyuk A. ↑,
68', Biblik S. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
68', Kriushichev M. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
71', Emerson 🟨,
75', Nikitenkov A. 🟨,
78', Simonyan A. ↓, Troshechkin A. ↑,
82', Ishchenko N. ↓, Mikhailusov A. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Kleshchenko A. ⚽,
86', Gorelov P. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
86', Manelov I. ↓, Yudintsev G. ↑,
89', Pokidyshev N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Rotor is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tekstilshchik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

R. Volgograd: 1.42% Tekstilshtik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17
17	Tekstilshtik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL
13.09.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
04.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ural - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLL
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
13.09.26	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volna Kovernino - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Shinnik - Rotor	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.01.23	Rotor - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1
Russian FNL
21.05.22	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor	1:3
10.07.21	Rotor - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:0
27.10.19	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor	0:1
13.07.19	Rotor - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:2

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