Match Info

FNL - Round 9

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Shishkin P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Kostroma		Rotor

	1	X	2
	2.69	3.20	2.84
	2.65	3.05	2.80
	2.66	3.17	2.81	Watch
	2.39	2.90	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.55)	3.08 ↑ (3.03)	2.81 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
36.1%

Draw
30.5%

Rotor
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

31.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Spartak Kostroma - Rotor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 2. Tarasov N. (C) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 17. Kaptilovich D. 7. Malyarov K. 22. Nemchenko A. 18. Kamilov V. 82. Nikiforenko O. 69. Chursin K. 10. Karaev D. 90. Kalmykov A.	13. Chagrov N. (C) 29. Khityaev A. 4. Yudintsev G. 25. Emerson 17. Pokidyshev N. 10. Simonyan A. 5. Troshechkin A. 6. Umnikov M. 8. Ayupov T. 9. Aliev S. 11. Eldarushev A.
Substitutes
21. Bugarin M. 3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 73. Kirakosyan D. 6. Mohammadi N. 96. Mokhammad A. 66. Nikiforov M. 13. Rubtsov I. 50. Shamov E. (G) 47. Tarasov A.	21. Gorelov P. 7. Khokhlachev A. 28. Khubulov A. 24. Kleshchenko A. 20. Litvenok I. (G) 12. Revazov A. 18. Rodionov I. 1. Sugrobov V. (G) 22. Tsaraev A.
Coaches
Ashikhmin A.	Parfenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Bugarin M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Chursin K. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
59', Nikiforenko O. ↓, Mohammadi N. ↑,
60', Malyarov K. 🟨,
64', Bugarin M. 🟨,
74', Kaptilovich D. 🟨,
75', Aliev S. ↓, Khubulov A. ↑,
75', Simonyan A. ↓, Rodionov I. ↑,
76', Malyarov K. ↓, Tarasov A. ↑,
76', Kamilov V. ↓, Kirakosyan D. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Tarasov N. ⚽,
82', Eldarushev A. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
82', Ayupov T. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
84', Tarasov N. 🟨,
88', Mohammadi N. 🟨,
90', Khityaev A. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

In recent matches, Spartak Kostroma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rotor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rotor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Kostroma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 6.02% R. Volgograd: 1.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Kostroma	12	7	3	2	16:10	6	24
8	R. Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	6	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
21.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	3:0 ✺
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTWTT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
24.08.26	Rotor - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Rotor - Ural	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Rotor - Chelyabinsk	4:1 ✺
03.08.26	Veles Moscow - Rotor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.02.26	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	1:1
30.08.25	Rotor - Spartak Kostroma	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.10.23	Rotor - Spartak Kostroma	2:0
03.09.23	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	0:1

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