Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Tekstilshchik (Ivanovo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.73	3.35	2.38
	2.60	3.25	2.25
	3.18	3.08	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.67)	3.23 ↓ (3.41)	2.32 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
32.2%

Draw
28.3%

Arsenal Tula
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 77. Biblik S. 7. Dzhebov A. 2. Gapechkin A. (C) 74. Guziev E. 83. Ishchenko N. 23. Ivannikov D. 11. Kriushichev M. 27. Krutovskikh A. 46. Pershin N. 30. Simonov D.	36. Levashov M. (G) 82. Alekhin A. 35. Enin I. 19. Glushkov N. 17. Gorbunov I. 45. Karmaev N. 5. Krashevskiy Y. 11. Magomedov R. 77. Plotnikov D. 8. Shamkin D. 10. Zhigulev I.
Substitutes
87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 78. Korneev A. 3. Marugin D. 17. Mikhailusov A. 29. Nikitin K. 19. Noskov M. 66. Petin Y. 91. Pomalyuk A. 50. Pyatibratov D. 95. Volkov M. (G)	25. Biryukov A. 14. Brnovic M. 44. Isaenko O. 52. Kuzin A. 23. Melekestsev T. 21. Razdorskikh N. 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nikitenkov A. ↓, Marugin D. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Dzhebov A. ⚽,
50', Krashevskiy Y. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
60', Plotnikov D. 🟨,
61', Biblik S. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
67', Zhigulev I. ↓, Melekestsev T. ↑,
67', Enin I. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
70', Ishchenko N. ↓, Nikitin K. ↑,
74', Kriushichev M. ↓, Noskov M. ↑,
74', Simonov D. ↓, Pomalyuk A. ↑,
80', Shamkin D. ↓, Biryukov A. ↑,
80', Glushkov N. ↓, Uridia G. ↑,
82', Filev A. 🟨,
82', Razdorskikh N. 🟨,

Preview

Tekstilshchik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tekstilshchik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Tekstilshtik: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL
04.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ural - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	KAMAZ - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Ural	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.07.26	Arsenal Tula - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:1
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Arsenal Tula	0:1 penalties

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