Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Telde		Marino

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.65	1.55
	5.28	3.79	1.58	Watch
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.53	3.9	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.06)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telde
17.4%

Draw
24.8%

Marino
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telde than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Telde - Marino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Telde is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Telde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marino is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CD Marino	4	2	1	1	12:6	6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Telde
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
12.02.26	Mensajero - Telde	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Telde - Tenerife C	2:6 ✺
31.01.26	San Bartolomé - Telde	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Telde - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Arucas - Telde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTLT
- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.02.26	Marino - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Marino - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Tenerife C - Marino	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Marino - San Bartolomé	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Arucas - Marino	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLWTW

Telde - Marino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide