Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Beranger (Turdera)


	Temperley		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.5	4.75	Watch
	2.18	2.52	4.15
	2.22	2.64	5.03
	2.36	2.18	5.29	Watch
	2.25	2.5	3.9
	2.12	2.4	4.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 (2.21)	2.46 ↓ (2.72)	4.64 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Temperley
42.2%

Draw
37.8%

Patronato Parana
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

34.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

33.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Temperley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Temperley - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Temperley will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Temperley (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Patronato (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Temperley (votes: 1 - 50%). Patronato (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrolia E. (G) 4. Monti L. 2. Pacheco O. 6. Aguinagalde V. 3. Angelini L. 7. Brandan F. 5. Richarte L. 8. Avalos N. 10. Nieto L. 11. Benitez F. 9. Echeverria M.	. Sosa A. (G) . Rueda W. . Diaz G. . Meritello F. . Piccioni S. . Salas J. . Bravo F. . Cortes B. . Pereyra V. L. . Soldano F. . Rivero H.
Substitutes
17. Carrasco J. 19. Esparza G. 18. Kruger F. 20. Molina N. 12. Morrone L. (G) 13. Nardelli G. 15. Souto P. 16. Tomasetti G. 14. Werro V.	. Araujo A. . Barinaga J. P. . Barolin J. . Enrique M. . Mendoza M. N. . Miro A. . Peralta R. (G) . Picco A. . Velasquez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Mastrolia E. ↓, Morrone L. ↑,
32', Avalos N. 🟨,
44', Salas J. 🟨,
45+2', Echeverria M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Brandan F. 🟨,
56', Meritello F. 🟨,
58', Aguinagalde V. 🟨,
62', Monti L. 🟨,
63', Avalos N. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
63', Benitez F. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Temperley won 3.

Temperley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Patronato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Temperley is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Temperley won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Temperley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Patronato Parana - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.32%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Colegiales - Temperley	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Temperley - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Temperley	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Los Andes - Temperley	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Temperley - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTTWW
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colón	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.09.23	Temperley - Patronato Parana	3:1
13.05.23	Patronato Parana - Temperley	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.05.18	Temperley - Patronato Parana	1:2
29.08.16	Temperley - Patronato Parana	1:0
Copa Argentina
19.03.15	Temperley - Patronato Parana	2:1 penalties
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.14	Temperley - Patronato Parana	1:0
24.08.14	Patronato Parana - Temperley	0:1

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