Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 10

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)


	Patronato Parana		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	3.8	Watch
	2.28	2.72	3.5	Watch
	2.32	2.71	4
	2.27	2.74	3.85	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.5
	2.09	2.93	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.07)	2.77 ↓ (3.07)	3.71 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
41.5%

Draw
33.5%

Deportivo Maipú
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

30.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Diaz G. 6. Meritello F. 3. Moreyra F. 8. Salas J. 5. Picco A. 10. Cortes B. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Soldano F. 9. Attis T.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Arnijas L. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 8. Bonfigli M. 5. Mansilla G. 10. Eggel M. (C) 11. Vera J. 7. Saccone F. 9. Rivarola F.
Substitutes
16. Barinaga J. P. 12. Caballero M. (G) 15. Enrique M. 17. Miro A. 13. Piccioni S. 19. Reynaga R. 20. Rivero H. 14. Velasquez B. 18. Villarreal V.	19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 20. Giacone J. 16. Landriel L. 14. Ortale M. 13. Paulini S. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 18. Silva T. 17. Viguet M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rivarola F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meritello F. ↓, Piccioni S. ↑,
52', Attis T. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
57', Rivarola F. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
72', Saccone F. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
77', Salas J. 🟨,
81', Soldano F. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
81', Picco A. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
86', Cortes B. ↓, Barinaga J. P. ↑,
86', Mansilla G. ↓, Paulini S. ↑,
90+5', Diaz G. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

Recent performances by Patronato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Maipú's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Patronato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.26	Club Almagro - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colón	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Quilmes - Patronato Parana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Godoy Cruz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Maipú	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.25	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:0
16.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	1:1
18.08.24	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	3:1
31.03.24	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:2

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