Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, New World Sport 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Tenerife		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.20
	2.22	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.36	3.04	3.64
	2.29	3.03	3.51	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.5
	2.3	3.11	3.5	Watch
	2.26	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.46 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.5%

Draw
31.3%

Leganés
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tenerife have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Tenerife - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Leganés will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 29. Fernandez D. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo Sanchez 10. Gil N. 8. Moreno V. 18. Enric (C)	13. Zidane L. (G) 11. Garcia N. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. (C) 2. Marvel 22. Alex Sancris 10. Buurmeester Z. 20. Atienza M. 8. Kechta Y. 17. Gharbi I. 21. Morata A.
Substitutes
24. Chapela I. 9. de Miguel J. 40. De Vuyst G. (G) 26. Diocou B. 17. Gomis C. 3. Jureskin R. 23. Krdzalic A. 21. Mateu M. 5. Moreno J. 7. Pecar M. 20. Pitton M. 14. Valentin G.	18. Campos A. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Fita A. 31. Lozano N. (G) 9. Millan A. 3. Montero J. 4. Pulido R. 14. Rodriguez D. 19. Soko P. 32. Sule
Coaches
Cervera A.	Albes R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Alex Sancris 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Enric (Penalty Awarded),
28', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alex Sancris ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
61', Fernandez D. 🟨,
61', Marvel 🟨,
63', Buurmeester Z. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
69', Fernandez D. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
72', Morata A. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
72', Miquel I. ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Enric ⚽, Valentin G. (A),
78', Enric ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
78', Fabricio ↓, Krdzalic A. ↑,
85', Garcia N. ↓, Sule ↑,
90', Moreno V. ↓, Pecar M. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez C. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tenerife: Ranos G. (Injury) Viereck N. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Diawara A. (Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Tejero A. (Injury) del Cura U. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.3:0).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Leganes: 2.35% Tenerife: 2.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11
13	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Tenerife - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Leganés - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
05.09.26	Real Sociedad B - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tenerife - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Tenerife - Almería	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Eibar - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Tenerife - Tamaraceite	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWWW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Leganés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Real Oviedo - Leganés	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Girona - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Leganés - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.04.24	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0
20.12.23	Leganés - Tenerife	1:1
29.04.23	Tenerife - Leganés	1:0
23.10.22	Leganés - Tenerife	2:1
06.02.22	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0
23.10.21	Leganés - Tenerife	1:2
21.02.21	Leganés - Tenerife	1:0

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