Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Adarve		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3
	2.19	3.05	3.2
	2.23	3.13	3.18
	2.19	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.23)	3.16 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
41.3%

Draw
30%

Tenerife B
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tenerife B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Adarve - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Adarve will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Adarve - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLTW
- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Tenerife B - Getafe B	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Tenerife B	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Cacereño - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Tenerife B - Coria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Tenerife B - Unión Adarve	2:0

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