Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech (Teplice)

Referee: Volek S. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Teplice		Karviná

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.72	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3.37	2.71
	2.77	3.42	2.44	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.5
	2.67	3.29	2.67	Watch
	2.71	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.13)	3.27 ↓ (3.65)	2.56 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teplice
34.9%

Draw
28.6%

Karviná
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Teplice's form might have worsened.

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karviná's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teplice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Teplice - Karviná Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Teplice will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Karviná will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Karviná (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 3. Svanda J. 17. Halinsky D. 28. Vecerka D. 25. Riznic M. 6. Bilek M. (C) 16. Kodes P. 35. Radosta M. 37. Marecek D. 46. Auta J. 7. Zlatohlavek T.	30. Lapes J. (G) 4. Traore A. 49. Camara S. 99. Prebsl F. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 77. Storman R. 11. Kacor P. 14. Ayaosi E. 10. Samko D. 17. Sigut S. 26. Ezeh L.
Substitutes
34. Audinis N. 8. Fortelny J. 18. Fully E. 5. Jakubko J. 19. Jukl R. 11. Kozak M. 14. Krejci L. 33. Ludha R. (G) 12. Naprstek M. 27. Nyarko B. 10. Pulkrab M.	24. Chytry J. 31. Conde O. 20. Kahuan Vinicius 9. Labik A. 3. Lawali Y. 19. Milic N. 1. Neuman V. (G) 44. Skyba Y. 21. Sloncik S. 7. Vallo K. 28. Valosek V.
Coaches
Frtala Z.	Jarolim M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Traore A. 🟨,
38', Fleisman J. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Bilek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Traore A. ↓, Milic N. ↑,
52', Riznic M. ↓, Fully E. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Radosta M. ⚽, Zlatohlavek T. (A),
64', Svanda J. 🟨,
64', Samko D. ↓, Labik A. ↑,
64', Ezeh L. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
69', Auta J. ↓, Nyarko B. ↑,
69', Marecek D. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
76', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
83', Ayaosi E. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
90', Sigut S. ↓, Conde O. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Teplice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Teplice has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J. (Injury) Takacs L. (Injury)

There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S. (Injury) Fiala J. (Injury) Kristan J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Singhateh E. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Teplice	9	5	1	3	17:15	2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Teplice
Czech 1 Liga
31.01.26	Jablonec - Teplice	1:0 ✺
Czech Tipsport Liga
30.01.26	Teplice - Vlašim	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Dukla Prague B - Teplice	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Železničar Pančevo - Teplice	2:2 ✺
Czech Tipsport Liga
14.01.26	Viktoria Žižkov - Teplice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTW
- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
01.02.26	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Karviná - Opava	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Novi Pazar - Karviná	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Bohemians 1905 - Karviná	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
30.08.25	Karviná - Teplice	4:1
01.02.25	Karviná - Teplice	1:1
24.08.24	Teplice - Karviná	1:3
24.02.24	Teplice - Karviná	2:2
16.09.23	Karviná - Teplice	0:1
10.05.22	Karviná - Teplice	2:2
20.02.22	Teplice - Karviná	1:0

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