Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Teramo		Atletico Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.88	3.15	4.08	Watch
	1.84	3.25	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teramo
48.8%

Draw
28.2%

Atletico Ascoli
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teramo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teramo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Teramo - Atletico Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Pavone F. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Maio F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atletico Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Teramo is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Teramo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Teramo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Teramo	6	4	1	1	17:11	6	13
14	Atletico Ascoli	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teramo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.05.26	Atletico Ascoli - Teramo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Teramo - Recanatese	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	San Marino Calcio - Teramo	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Teramo - Termoli	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Ancona - Teramo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLTW
- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.05.26	Atletico Ascoli - Teramo	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Atletico Ascoli - Sora	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Giulianova - Atletico Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
03.05.26	Atletico Ascoli - Teramo	1:1
21.12.25	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	1:2
17.04.25	Atletico Ascoli - Teramo	0:0
08.12.24	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	0:0

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