Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.40	4.00
	1.75	3.35	4
	1.7	3.48	4.19
	1.74	3.55	4.23	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.92	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)	4.2 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
52.7%

Draw
25.7%

Fossombrone
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Giometti C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 10th).

Fossombrone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Atletico Ascoli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Ascoli has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1 (averaging 0:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atletico Ascoli against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10
14	Atletico Ascoli	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.09.26	Giulianova - Atletico Ascoli	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Trestina	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	L Aquila - Atletico Ascoli	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Teramo - Atletico Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWL
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
27.09.26	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Trestina - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fossombrone - L Aquila	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Giulianova - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cesena - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
19.04.26	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0
07.12.25	Fossombrone - Atletico Ascoli	0:0
20.10.24	Fossombrone - Atletico Ascoli	1:0
03.12.23	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0

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