Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Ternana		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.15
	1.70	3.51	4.88	Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.15	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	5.05 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
55.5%

Draw
26.3%

Juventus U23
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ternana - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 87. Martella B. 3. Capuano M. 2. Donati F. 5. Romeo F. 16. Garetto M. 7. Vallocchia A. 8. Ndrecka A. 19. Orellana M. 9. Dubickas E. 10. Ferrante A.	22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 15. Savio F. 32. Turicchia R. 44. Pedro Felipe 3. Gil J. 40. Rouhi J. 30. Mazur P. 16. Faticanti G. 26. Pagnucco F. 17. Guerra S. 11. Amaradio L.
Substitutes
14. Bianay Balcot C. 22. Biondini G. 17. Brignola E. 23. Bruti T. 24. Durmush M. 11. Leonardi S. 15. Loiacono G. 4. Maestrelli A. 27. McJannet E. 18. Meccariello B. 32. Pettinari S. 25. Proietti M. 6. Tripi F. 21. Turella M. 12. Vitali T. (G)	10. Anghele L. 18. Brugarello M. 29. Bruno L. (G) 21. Crapisto F. 41. Cudrig N. 9. Deme S. 31. Martinez B. 6. Ngana V. 33. Perotti C. 20. Pugno D. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 19. Vacca A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Donati F. 🟨,
21', Pagnucco F. 🟨,
45+3', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Guerra S. ↓, Cudrig N. ↑,
62', Amaradio L. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
67', Ferrante A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
67', Orellana M. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Leonardi S. ⚽,
75', Deme S. 🟨,
76', Pagnucco F. ↓, Vacca A. ↑,
77', Okoro A. 🟨,
85', Okoro A. ↓, Pugno D. ↑,
86', Mazur P. ↓, Ngana V. ↑,
86', Martella B. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
86', Romeo F. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
90', Garetto M. 🟨,
90+5', Garetto M. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

Ternana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus U23 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventus U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ternana is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Ternana - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Ternana - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTWT
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.25	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
22.10.25	Juventus U23 - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
27.06.20	Ternana - Juventus U23	1:2

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