Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Ternana		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	2.98	2.52
	2.84	2.86	2.79
	2.89	3.09	2.46	Watch
	2.84	2.85	2.46	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.89)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.52 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
32.4%

Draw
31.1%

Arezzo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Ternana - Arezzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 87. Martella B. 19. Capuano M. 20. Donati F. 43. Ndrecka A. 4. Vallocchia A. 5. Tripi F. 7. Romeo F. 16. Garetto M. 9. Dubickas E. 27. Ferrante A.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 3. Tito F. 78. Iaccarino G. 7. Guccione F. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 11. Brignola E. 70. Durmush M. 10. Leonardi S. 6. Loiacono G. 13. Maestrelli A. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 80. Proietti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	23. Arena M. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 8. Eklu S. M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 37. Righetti S. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Guccione F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Dubickas E. ⚽,
42', Chierico L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Ferrante A. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
64', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
64', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
64', Chiosa M. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Cianci P. ⚽,
71', Guccione F. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
78', Ravasio M. 🟨,
80', Romeo F. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
80', Dubickas E. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
88', Cianci P. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
88', Tito F. ↓, Righetti S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Ternana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arezzo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arezzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Arezzo - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.25	Campobasso - Ternana	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ternana - Pineto	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ravenna - Ternana	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Ternana - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.25	Ravenna - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Rimini - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Arezzo - Carpi	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Pianese - Arezzo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.25	Ternana - Arezzo	3:1
29.09.24	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2

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