Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Gubbio		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	2.98	2.45
	2.86	3.15	2.44	Watch
	3.11	2.65	2.7	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)	2.52 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
31.4%

Draw
31.8%

Ternana
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.9%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Gubbio - Ternana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 17. Fazzi N. 23. Bruscagin M. 15. Signorini A. 34. Zallu F. 44. Hraiech S. 82. Djankpata H. 21. Carraro F. 29. Murru N. 19. La Mantia A. 77. Minta A.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 87. Martella B. 7. Romeo F. 80. Proietti M. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Garetto M. 9. Dubickas E. 27. Ferrante A.
Substitutes
4. Baroncelli L. 78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 5. Di Bitonto A. 10. Di Massimo A. 73. Ghirardello T. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 80. Niang O. 27. Podda L. 8. Rosaia G. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 9. Tommasini C.	2. Bianay Balcot C. 38. Bruti T. 37. Coltorti A. 70. Durmush M. 10. Leonardi S. 6. Loiacono G. 13. Maestrelli A. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 5. Tripi F. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Carraro F. ⚽,
32', Martella B. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
33', Fazzi N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Maestrelli A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Minta A. ⚽,
45+2', Djankpata H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Murru N. ↓, Podda L. ↑,
53', Romeo F. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Vallocchia A. ⚽,
58', Djankpata H. ↓, Rosaia G. ↑,
63', Romeo F. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
63', Ferrante A. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
69', Garetto M. 🟨,
79', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
79', Proietti M. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
79', La Mantia A. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
80', Carraro F. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
82', Bagnolini N. 🟨,
86', Zallu F. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Tommasini C. ⚽,
90+6', Hraiech S. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+11', 3 - 3, Pettinari S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2.

Gubbio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ternana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gubbio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLTT
- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Ternana - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Ternana - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Campobasso - Ternana	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ternana - Pineto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.25	Ternana - Gubbio	2:1
07.09.24	Gubbio - Ternana	0:0
Club Friendly
10.09.20	Gubbio - Ternana	1:0
01.08.19	Gubbio - Ternana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.19	Gubbio - Ternana	1:1
11.11.18	Ternana - Gubbio	3:0

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