Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 22

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Picardi M. (Ita)


	Ternana		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.85	4.05	1.55	Watch
	4.7	4.59	1.61
	6	4.82	1.44	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.53
	4.73	4.1	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (3.88)	4.29 ↑ (3.44)	1.55 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
18.6%

Draw
21.6%

Milan
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

27%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ternana's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ternana - Milan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Schroffenegger K. (G) 29. Martins C. 4. Pacioni E. (C) 24. Massimino M. 5. Peruzzo L. 3. Breitner S. 23. Regazzoli A. 16. Ciccotti C. 21. Petrara M. 14. Porcarelli M. 7. Gomes A.	13. Estevez S. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 6. Sorelli N. 25. De Sanders K. 21. Keijzer M. 5. Cernoia V. 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 18. Renzotti M. 80. Kamczyk E. 7. Kyvag T.
Substitutes
2. Cecchini M. 12. Ciccioli G. (G) 6. Corrado H. 27. Di Giammarino V. 22. Erzen K. 13. Ghioc K. (G) 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 8. Pastrenge L. 19. Quazzico F. 55. Ripamonti C. 18. Vigliucci C.	8. Arrigoni G. 32. Babb S. (G) 99. Dompig C. 39. Donolato V. 26. Gemmi L. 1. Giuliani L. (G) 14. Park Soo-Jeong 17. Sesay M. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)
Coaches
Cincotta A.	Bakker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Gomes A. ↓, Lazaro P. ↑,
58', Regazzoli A. ↓, Pastrenge L. ↑,
60', Cernoia V. ↓, Arrigoni G. ↑,
60', Kamczyk E. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
65', Koivisto E. 🟨,
81', Kyvag T. ↓, Sesay M. ↑,
81', Renzotti M. ↓, Park Soo-Jeong ↑,
82', Ciccotti C. ↓, Labate C. ↑,
82', Porcarelli M. ↓, Di Giammarino V. ↑,
88', Pacioni E. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Lazaro P. ⚽, Pastrenge L. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Ternana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Milan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
8	Ternana W	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Women
Italian Serie A Women
10.05.26	Lazio - Ternana	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Roma - Ternana	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ternana - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Parma - Ternana	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ternana - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLT
- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
10.05.26	Milan - Parma	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Inter Milan - Milan	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Milan - Napoli	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sassuolo - Milan	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Milan - Como	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0
Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Milan - Ternana	2:1
Coppa Italia Women
02.11.22	Ternana - Milan	0:2

Ternana - Milan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide