Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Terranuova Traiana		Montevarchi

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Terranuova Traiana
39.5%

Draw
28.2%

Montevarchi
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terranuova Traiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - Seravezza Pozzi	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Terranuova Traiana - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Foligno - Terranuova Traiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWT
- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Poggibonsi - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Montevarchi - Scandicci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLT

Terranuova Traiana - Montevarchi