Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Terrassa		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.2	Watch
	3.3	2.81	2.02
	3.71	2.86	2.21
	3.54	3.06	2.03
	3.6	2.9	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (5.11)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	2.11 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terrassa
25.9%

Draw
31%

Hércules
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

27.9%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

28.7%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terrassa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Terrassa's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terrassa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Terrassa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Terrassa - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Terrassa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hércules is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Terrassa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Terrassa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terrassa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	CE Europa - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Terrassa - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Terrassa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Penya Independent - Terrassa	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Terrassa - Andratx	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTWW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Hércules - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Hércules - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Valencia B - Hércules	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	CE Europa - Hércules	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hércules - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.04.23	Hércules - Terrassa	2:2
20.11.22	Terrassa - Hércules	3:1

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