Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 16

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Teutonia Ottensen		Phönix Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.4	3.75	2.5
	2.46	3.75	2.73
	2.31	3.69	2.6
	2.14	3.75	2.81
	2.2	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	2.72 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teutonia Ottensen
40.8%

Draw
25.2%

Phönix Lübeck
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

24.8%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

23.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teutonia Ottensen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Phönix Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teutonia Ottensen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phönix Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Lesueur T. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Berger J. (Pen),
18', 0 - 3, Stover J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 6)
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,
65', 1 - 4, Iloka O. ⚽,
68', 1 - 5, Iloka O. ⚽,
68', 1 - 6, Stover J. ⚽,
71', 1 - 7, Stover J. ⚽,
81', 1 - 8, Stover J. ⚽,
83', 1 - 9, Stover J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Teutonia Ottensen won 2.

Teutonia Ottensen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Phönix Lübeck is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Phönix Lübeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Teutonia Ottensen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Teutonia Ottensen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teutonia Ottensen
German Regionalliga North
19.10.24	Meppen - Teutonia Ottensen	4:0 ✺
13.10.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Teutonia Ottensen	1:4 ✺
06.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - TSV Havelse	3:0 ✺
03.10.24	Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	1:4 ✺
29.09.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Jeddeloh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWT
- Phönix Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
20.10.24	Phönix Lübeck - Eintracht Norderstedt	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	TSV Havelse - Phönix Lübeck	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Phönix Lübeck - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Phönix Lübeck - Bremer SV	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Drochtersen Assel - Phönix Lübeck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
28.04.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:3
28.02.24	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	1:0
05.02.23	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:1
17.08.22	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	0:1
24.10.21	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:2
18.08.21	Phönix Lübeck - Teutonia Ottensen	0:0
13.09.20	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	2:0

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