Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)


	The New Saints		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.55
	5.25	4.6	1.55
	5	4.5	1.55
	5.7	4.4	1.54
	5.16	4.57	1.53	Watch
	6	4.75	1.4
	5.15	4.73	1.6
	5.5	4.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↓ (7.3)	4.6 ↓ (4.85)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
17.7%

Draw
20.5%

Ferencvárosi
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

19%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

16.5%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferencvárosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	7.1%	60.7%

The New Saints - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 17 - 63%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 44.8% – 81.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 24. Baker A. 22. Davies D. 6. Bodenham J. 7. Daniels J. 18. Holden R. 14. Williams D. 8. Brobbel R. 10. Redmond D. (C) 9. McManus D. 23. Young B.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 34. Raul Gustavo 99. Ramirez C. 80. Maiga H. 88. Rommens P. 16. Zachariassen K. 20. Traore A. 8. Pesic A. 24. Kehinde T.
Substitutes
20. Bradley S. 27. Canavan J. 19. Clark B. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Hudson B. 39. Jones T. 3. Marshall J. 16. McGahey H. 2. Pask J. 21. Smith L. 17. Williams J. 31. Woollam B.	22. Abena M. 15. Abu Fani M. 7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 30. Gruber Z. 35. Kady Borges 54. Kajan N. 55. Katona B. 4. Knoester M. 18. Owusu 63. Radnoti D. (G) 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Harrison C.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Brobbel R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Zachariassen K. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Baker A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Rommens P. (Pen),
63', Baker A. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
63', Davies D. ↓, Pask J. ↑,
63', Brobbel R. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
63', Pesic A. ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
63', Maiga H. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
68', McManus D. 🟨,
72', Cisse I. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
72', Traore A. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
75', McManus D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
80', Holden R. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
85', Kehinde T. ↓, Katona B. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Daniels J. ⚽, Clark B. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

TNS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently TNS have a series of guest games.

Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of home games.

In this match Ferencvárosi is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches TNS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Ferencvárosi - The New Saints	5:0 ✺
16.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	The New Saints - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.24	Cliftonville - The New Saints	1:5 ✺
25.06.24	Ballyclare Comrades - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Ferencvárosi - The New Saints	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.24	Ferencvárosi - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
06.07.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
27.06.24	Ferencvárosi - Sepsi OSK	4:4 ✺
22.06.24	Ferencvárosi - Nafta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Ferencvárosi - The New Saints	5:0

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