Match Info

Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 31

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Walker J. (Wal)


	The New Saints		Gap Connahs Quay

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.25	5.5
	1.48	4.61	5.98
	1.46	4.65	6.09	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.4	4.33	6.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.41 ↑ (4.27)	6.01 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
63.7%

Draw
21%

Gap Connahs Quay
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.4%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Gap Connahs Quay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for The New Saints aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Connahs Quay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 8. Brobbel R. 4. Corness D. 15. Farrell E. 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 18. Holden R. 3. Marshall J. 10. Redmond D. 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J.	1. Margetson K. (G) 11. Bratley C. 26. Cook J. 20. Cowan D. 14. Edwards N. 12. Franklin H. 28. Jones J. 22. Poole D. 4. Roberts D. 8. West C. 18. Woodcock M.
Substitutes
7. Barton D. 22. Davies D. 16. McGahey H. 38. Owen B. (G) 2. Owen J. 21. Smith L. 35. Summers B.	35. Berry R. (G) 10. Ismail Z. 3. Marriott Ch. 9. Oswell J. 34. Partridge C. 27. Redshaw F. 23. Sharif A.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Disney J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Franklin H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Brobbel R. ⚽,
57', Redmond D. 🟨,
61', Farrell E. 🟨,
62', Woodcock M. ↓, Redshaw F. ↑,
63', Roberts D. ↓, Sharif A. ↑,
65', Corness D. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
65', Farrell E. ↓, Davies D. ↑,
70', Brobbel R. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
82', Barton D. 🟨,
87', Poole D. ↓, Partridge C. ↑,
87', Bratley C. ↓, Marriott Ch. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Sharif A. ⚽,
90+5', Partridge C. 🟨,

Preview

TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )

Connahs Quay is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, TNS is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TNS won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:20. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, TNS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:8. (average 2.9:0.9).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6% Connahs Q.: 3.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.03.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
20.03.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
28.02.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL
- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
29.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Pen-y-Bont	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Caernarfon Town - Gap Connahs Quay	2:4 ✺
03.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
03.03.26	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2
31.12.25	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	3:1
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:3
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.08.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	3:0
Welsh FA Cup
04.05.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.12.24	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1
30.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2

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