Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, Solidsport TV


	The New Saints		Shkendija Tetovo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.82	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.55	3.94
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.7
	1.97	3.72	3.93	Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.38)	3.5 ↓ (4.33)	3.85 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
49%

Draw
26.7%

Shkendija Tetovo
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The New Saints's form might have worsened.

Shkendija Tetovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shkendija Tetovo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.5%	12.1%	36.4%

The New Saints - Shkendija Tetovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Shkendija will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TNS: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Shkendija (votes: 11 - 64.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 21. Smith L. 16. McGahey H. 6. Bodenham J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 18. Holden R. 4. Corness D. 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J. 28. Wilson B. 8. Brobbel R.	24. Gaye B. (G) 2. Trumci A. 15. Fetai I. 5. Cake K. (C) 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 28. Qaka K. 29. Tamba F. 10. Krasniqi E. 77. Latifi L. 9. Ademi F.
Substitutes
5. Astles R. 27. Canavan J. 9. Charles K. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 64. Craig K. 30. Edwards J. (G) 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 3. Marshall J. 24. Nadin J. 15. Oteh A. 26. Phillips L.	22. Ajetovikj N. 6. Alhassan A. 25. Amzai A. (G) 18. Ceka N. 7. Ibraimi B. 27. Kaba L. 19. Krstevski V. 26. Meliqi A. 16. Murati M. 38. Nuhija A. 8. Ramadani F. 30. Ramani F. (G)
Coaches
Harrison C.	Bekjiri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cake K. 🟨,
40', Corness D. 🟨,
45+2', Smith L. ↓, Craig K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ademi F. ↓, Ibraimi B. ↑,
68', Krasniqi E. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
68', Latifi L. ↓, Krstevski V. ↑,
74', Wilson B. ↓, Oteh A. ↑,
74', Williams D. ↓, Marshall J. ↑,
75', Corness D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
80', Holden R. ↓, Charles K. ↑,
87', Qaka K. ↓, Ramadani F. ↑,
88', Clark B. 🟨,
88', Redmond D. 🟨,
90+3', Tamba F. ↓, Kaba L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Shkendija's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

TNS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shkendija has had a series of home games.

TNS will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, TNS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, TNS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Ayr United - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Larne - The New Saints	2:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
04.05.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.04.25	Haverfordwest County - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	The New Saints - Bala Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWWW
- Shkendija Tetovo
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Dinamo City	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Shkendija Tetovo - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Koper - Shkendija Tetovo	4:0 ✺
17.06.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Argeș Pitești	1:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
17.05.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Sileks	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
17.07.18	The New Saints - Shkendija Tetovo	4:0
10.07.18	Shkendija Tetovo - The New Saints	5:0

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