Match Info

Date: 26 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Stoyanov I. (Bul)


	The New Saints		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3	3.55	2.1
	3.27	3.52	2.14
	3.18	3.68	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)	3.56 ↑ (3.15)	2.11 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
29.8%

Draw
26.1%

Vikingur Reykjavik
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vikingur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vikingur Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	34.4%	53.1%

The New Saints - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Vikingur will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vikingur: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches TNS is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vikingur is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches TNS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.22	Linfield - The New Saints	2:0 ET ✺
05.07.22	The New Saints - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Larne - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	The New Saints - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Vikingur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - The New Saints	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.07.22	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Malmö	3:3 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.07.22	Malmö - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - The New Saints	2:0

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