The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 19.1%
Draw 26.4%
Fagiano Okayama 54.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
28.1%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
27.4%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fagiano Okayama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
2.2%
2.2%
95.7%
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fagiano Okayama will win
(89 of 93 users predict this - 95.7%). Confidence interval (95%): 91.58% โ 99.82%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Ishii R. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 29. Tagashira R. 6. Amagasa T. 15. Kazama K. 5. Kawakami C. 10. Sato R. 23. Hiramatsu S. 8. Takazawa Y.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 44. Semba T. 17. Sueyoshi R. 11. Ota R. 10. Tanaka Y. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
41. Einaga T. 13. Issei K. (G) 9. Kitagawa S. 40. Sagawa K. 35. Tamashiro T. 7. Wada M. 17. Yamanaka A.
8. Gabriel Xavier 9. Gleyson 1. Hotta D. (G) 27. Kimura T. 15. Motoyama H. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Yoshio K.
Coaches
Otsuki T.
Kiyama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Tagami D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lucao ↓, Gleyson ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Yanagi T. (Own goal),
53', 1 - 1, Semba T. ⚽, Gleyson (A),
58', Ota R. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
61', Takazawa Y. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
69', Tanaka Y. ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
69', Kawakami C. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
69', Kazama K. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
80', Tagami D. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
80', Yanagi T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
89', Hiramatsu S. ↓, Kitagawa S. ↑,
89', Amagasa T. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
90', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Gabriel Xavier ⚽, Gleyson (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2.
Thespakusatsu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Okayama in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Okayama is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
Watch
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Ishii R. (G) 
Brodersen S. (G) 
Lucao 
