Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.9	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3
	2.44	2.97	3.02	Watch
	2.62	3.02	2.97	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.48	3.11	3.11	Watch
	2.47	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
37.6%

Draw
31.3%

Tokyo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Okayama (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 15. Kudo K. 28. Matsumoto M. 24. Fujita I. 3. Fujii K. 50. Kato H. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. 22. Ichimi K.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 32. Doi K. 47. Kimura S. 44. Henrique Trevisan 99. Shirai K. 8. Ko T. 18. Hashimoto K. 7. Anzai S. 16. Sato K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 39. Nakagawa T.
Substitutes
45. Browne N. 19. Iwabuchi H. 33. Kamiya Yuta 13. Kanayama J. (G) 99. Lucao 23. Saga R. 14. Tabei R. 7. Takeuchi R. 5. Yanagi Y.	13. Hatano G. (G) 10. Higashi K. 4. Kimoto Y. 53. Kitahara M. 19. Marcelo Ryan 28. Nozawa L. 30. Oka T. 27. Tokiwa K. 14. Yamashita K.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
41', Fujii K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fujii K. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
59', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
59', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Tabei R. ⚽,
63', Nakagawa T. ↓, Kitahara M. ↑,
63', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
78', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
81', Anzai S. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
81', Sato K. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
85', Abe K. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
86', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

Okayama is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okayama will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Baek I. (Hamstring Injury) Morishige M. (Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLTL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
02.04.25	Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale	0:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Nara Club - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

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