Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Referee: Yamamoto Y. (Jpn)


	Fagiano Okayama		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	6	Watch
	1.58	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.72	5.9
	1.67	3.72	5.9
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.63	3.45	6.09	Watch
	1.63	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.52 ↓ (3.52)	5.59 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
56.8%

Draw
26.5%

Mito HollyHock
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 15. Motoyama H. 5. Yanagi Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 16. Kawano R. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 19. Iwabuchi H. 10. Tanaka Y. 9. Gleyson	51. Haruna R. (G) 2. Gotoda K. 35. Iizumi R. 33. Ushizawa T. 3. Osaki K. 15. Nagao Y. 10. Maeda R. 14. Sugiura F. 8. Ochiai R. 7. Arai H. 9. Ando M.
Substitutes
44. Gabriel Xavier 1. Hotta D. (G) 27. Kimura T. 99. Lucao 18. Tagami D. 88. Yanagi T. 25. Yoshio K.	23. Koda H. 22. Kubo S. 5. Kusumoto T. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 19. Murata K. 45. Teranuma S. 24. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Hamasaki Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ando M. 🟨,
33', Maeda R. 🟨,
35', Kawano R. 🟨,
40', Gleyson (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tabei R. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
46', Gotoda K. ↓, Murata K. ↑,
62', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
64', Arai H. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
73', Ando M. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
73', Maeda R. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
77', Kawano R. ↓, Tagami D. ↑,
77', Tanaka Y. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
81', Ochiai R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
85', Gleyson ↓, Lucao ↑,
88', Murata K. 🟨,
90+1', Fujita I. 🟨,
90+1', Nagao Y. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 2.

Okayama in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mito HollyHock is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Okayama to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Okayama won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
16.03.24	Fujieda MYFC - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Fagiano Okayama - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
16.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	YSCC - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0
05.03.23	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
25.06.22	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
04.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	2:1
24.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
17.04.21	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:2
04.10.20	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	0:0

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