Match Info

J3 League - Round 33

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Nara Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.48	3.61	2.52	Watch
	2.34	3.52	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	2.72 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
39.5%

Draw
26.5%

Nara Club
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.6%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nara Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Je-hee (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 4. Funabashi Y. 37. Sehata G. 8. Yamauchi R. 49. Kotake S. 11. Kagami T. 27. Fujimura R. 32. Kawata A.	15. Okada S. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 5. Suzuki D. 3. Sawada Y. 16. Okuda Y. 41. Morita R. 25. Kamigaki R. 7. Tamura R. 14. Nakashima K. 23. Okada Y. 11. Hyakuda M.
Substitutes
36. Adachi S. 15. Kazama K. 14. Kikuchi K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 38. Konishi H. 7. Nishimura Y. 20. Shimokawa T. 18. Tanaka S. 5. Yamaguchi K.	99. Endo M. (G) 22. Ikoma K. 70. Kawatani N. 20. Kunitake Y. 9. Sakai T. 17. Tamura S. 13. Tsunami Y. 10. Yamamoto S. 24. Yamamoto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Kagami T. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Kawata A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Kotake S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kagami T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
47', Koyanagi T. 🟨,
49', Hyakuda M. 🟨,
50', Ohata R. 🟨,
61', Kawata A. 🟨,
62', Tamura R. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
63', Sawada Y. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
63', Fujimura R. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
73', Yamauchi R. ↓, Kikuchi K. ↑,
73', Kawata A. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
77', Okada Y. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
77', Morita R. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
81', Kotake S. ↓, Nishimura Y. ↑,
87', Okuda Y. ↓, Sakai T. ↑,
90+4', Nakashima K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Thespakusatsu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nara Club has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
18.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Gifu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
18.10.25	Nara Club - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Tochigi City - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ryūkyū - Nara Club	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nara Club - Osaka	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Nara Club - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1

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