The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nara Club 41%
Draw 27.8%
Nagano Parceiro 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
27.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
28%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.
Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagano Parceiro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nara Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Nara Club - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nara Club will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nagano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Okada S. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 5. Suzuki D. 3. Sawada Y. 16. Okuda Y. 25. Kamigaki R. 41. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 14. Nakashima K. 23. Okada Y. 11. Hyakuda M.
21. Matsubara S. (G) 16. Ishii K. 2. Sakai S. 3. Tomita K. 33. Ando K. 46. Koga S. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 17. Kutsuna K. 10. Yamanaka R. 28. Fujikawa K. 11. Shin K.
Substitutes
99. Endo M. (G) 70. Kawatani N. 20. Kunitake Y. 9. Sakai T. 2. Tagashira R. 17. Tamura S. 13. Tsunami Y. 10. Yamamoto S. 24. Yamamoto S.
4. Gyotoku E. 5. Hasegawa Y. 20. Kano H. 8. Kondo T. 13. Konishi H. 87. Murakami Y. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 77. Thales
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Sakai S. ↓, Gyotoku E. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Nakashima K. ⚽, Tamura R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Morita R. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
65', Yamanaka R. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
65', Lim Ji-hoon ↓, Hasegawa Y. ↑,
65', Kutsuna K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
70', Okuda Y. 🟨,
71', Nakashima K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
71', Tamura R. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
71', Hyakuda M. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
78', Okuda Y. ↓, Tsunami Y. ↑,
80', Ando K. ↓, Thales ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Yamamoto S. ⚽,
90+5', Yamamoto S. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
Nara Club is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nagano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nara Club might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
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Okada S. (G) 
Lim Ji-hoon 
Thales 
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