The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thisted 37.3%
Draw 27%
Brabrand 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
27.6%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
26.6%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thisted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Brabrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Brabrand aligns with the current prediction.
Thisted - Brabrand Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th in the 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 10th in the 2nd Division (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thisted won 1.
Thisted has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Brabrand has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Thisted could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Thisted has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:27 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Thisted against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Brabrand
10
2
3
5
12:18
-6
9
12
Thisted FC
10
1
1
8
8:21
-13
4
Last Results with these Odds
Brabrand - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.