Match Info

Seconde Ligue Women - Round 17

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Thonon Évian		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.05	5.5
	1.56	3.75	5.03
	1.49	4.09	5.65	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.49	4	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.94 ↓ (4.13)	5.45 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thonon Évian
60.5%

Draw
22.9%

Guingamp
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thonon Évian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thonon Évian than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1%)

Thonon Évian - Guingamp Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Thonon Évian is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guingamp's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Thonon Évian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Thonon Évian is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thonon Évian won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Thonon Evian W	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thonon Évian Grand Genève FC
French Division 2 Women
22.03.26	Nice - Thonon Évian	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Thonon Évian - Auxerre	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Le Mans - Thonon Évian	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Thonon Évian - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lille - Thonon Évian	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLT
- EA Guingamp Women
French Division 2 Women
22.03.26	Guingamp - Reims	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Saint-Malo - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Guingamp - Metz	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Nice - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 2 Women
09.11.25	Guingamp - Thonon Évian	1:3

Thonon Évian - Guingamp