Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 4
World	Onefootball


	Thor Akureyri		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.60	4.00	1.75
	4.25	4.45	1.62	Watch
	4.43	4.77	1.63
	4.38	4.84	1.62	Watch
	4.35	4.7	1.6
	3.87	4.19	1.74	Watch
	4.2	4.4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.41)	4.48 ↓ (4.73)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
22.5%

Draw
20.9%

Valur
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

20%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

19.4%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thor Akureyri's form might have worsened.

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Thor Akureyri - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 18. Ingason S. 5. Affi Y. 20. Ottosson V. 2. Arnarsson A. 17. Gislason F. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 8. Halldorsson E. 15. Kristjansson K. 25. Jakobsen C. 22. Hlynsson A.	18. Schram F. (G) 11. Stole I. 4. Nakkim M. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 3. Gunnarsson H. 24. Veldman M. 17. Heimisson L. 14. Skoglund A. 28. Fridjonsson S. 8. Jonsson J. 12. Haraldsson T.
Substitutes
21. Baldvinsson E. 37. Gunnarsson S. 30. Helgason P. 13. Hjorvarsson N. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 19. Ragnarsson R. 4. Runarsson H. 14. Vioarsson S.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 6. Antonsson B. 5. Arnarsson K. 13. Haagensen K. 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 23. Palsson A. 21. Palsson J. 66. Stephensen O.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Hreidarsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Nakkim M. ⚽,
28', Gunnarsson H. ↓, Antonsson B. ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Nakkim M. ⚽, Jonsson J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Brynjolfsson B. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
46', Gislason F. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
57', Jonsson J. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
59', Stole I. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Kristjansson I. ⚽, Gunnarsson S. (A),
66', Antonsson B. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Kristjansson K. ⚽, Jakobsen C. (A),
77', Kristjansson I. ↓, Ragnarsson R. ↑,
81', Stole I. ↓, Arnarsson K. ↑,
82', Affi Y. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Skoglund A. ⚽, Antonsson B. (A),
90+3', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 4, Haraldsson T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2.

Thor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valur is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Valur is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Thor Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:4 ✺
31.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.26	Valur - Keflavík	1:1 ✺
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:5 ✺
26.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Valur	3:1 ✺
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.04.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	1:2
Icelandic League Cup
10.03.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	5:1
25.03.17	Thor Akureyri - Valur	2:4
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.09.14	Valur - Thor Akureyri	2:0
22.06.14	Thor Akureyri - Valur	0:1
25.08.13	Valur - Thor Akureyri	2:2
09.06.13	Thor Akureyri - Valur	3:5

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