Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 5
World	OneFootball TV


	Valur		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	4.33	3.90
	1.62	4.25	4.1	Watch
	1.67	4.5	4.36
	1.68	4.62	4.15	Watch
	1.65	4.35	4.3
	1.69	4.4	3.98	Watch
	1.64	4.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	4.41 ↓ (4.68)	4.13 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
56.2%

Draw
21.2%

Thor Akureyri
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

19.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

19.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valur - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schram F. (G) 11. Stole I. 4. Nakkim M. 3. Gunnarsson H. 10. Jonsson J. (C) 24. Veldman M. 5. Arnarsson K. 17. Heimisson L. 12. Haraldsson T. 9. Pedersen P. 19. Gardarson D.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 15. Kristjansson K. 6. Gudbrandsson G. 5. Affi Y. 20. Ottosson V. 35. Ingolfsson T. 8. Halldorsson E. 23. Vazquez K. 25. Jakobsen C. 22. Hlynsson A. 37. Gunnarsson S.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 27. Eiriksson P. 30. Heiddalur G. 22. Heimisson B. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 29. Veseli S. 33. Wehmeier G. 45. Wissler J.	9. Bertomeu V. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 17. Gislason F. 18. Ingason S. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 28. Vieira Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Brazell C.	Hoskuldsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gunnarsson S. ⚽, Ingolfsson T. (A),
20', Pedersen P. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Gardarson D. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Gudbrandsson G. (Own goal),
54', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,
55', 3 - 1, Pedersen P. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
62', Ottosson V. ↓, Brynjolfsson B. ↑,
62', Vazquez K. ↓, Ragnarsson R. ↑,
71', Hlynsson A. ↓, Bertomeu V. ↑,
71', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
75', Pedersen P. ↓, Veseli S. ↑,
76', Affi Y. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Veldman M. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
87', Stole I. 🟨,
90+1', Gardarson D. ↓, Eiriksson P. ↑,
90+1', Heimisson L. ↓, Wehmeier G. ↑,

Preview

Thor is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Valur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Valur won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Valur - Akraness	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLW
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	Thor Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Thor Akureyri	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.06.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	2:4
12.04.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	1:2
Icelandic League Cup
10.03.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	5:1
25.03.17	Thor Akureyri - Valur	2:4
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.09.14	Valur - Thor Akureyri	2:0
22.06.14	Thor Akureyri - Valur	0:1
25.08.13	Valur - Thor Akureyri	2:2

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