Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Thun		Kriens

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.20	4.60
	1.55	4.05	4.9
	1.53	4.5	4.82
	1.56	4.17	4.82
	1.51	3.95	4.75
	1.55	5.16	4.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	4.34 ↓ (4.47)	4.67 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
59.4%

Draw
21%

Kriens
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

20.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thun's performance.

Kriens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kriens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kriens than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kriens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thun - Kriens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steffen N. (G) 20. Braschi R. 23. Burki M. 37. Dahler L. 52. Ilic A. 80. Lengen S. 30. Maier N. 54. Passavant L. 16. Roth J. 8. Saiz F. 18. Strannegard T.	18. Zajac P. (G) 12. Francois M. 15. Heiniger E. 23. Hermann J. 19. Hoxha R. 17. Krasniqi A. 13. Maksutaj L. 26. Romano L. 30. Siegrist N. 3. Trondle K. 5. Willimann M.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 19. Bamert J. 5. Burgy N. 47. Fehr F. . Grando L. 34. Stucki L. (G) . Wyss 13. Zoukit N.	22. Mauch T. (G) 21. Mulliqi B. 7. Riedmann L. 28. Utz P. 20. Wicht C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Thun (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Kriens have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kriens could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Thun holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Thun has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:18 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Thun against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Thun - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.01%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
20.09.26	Vaduz - Thun	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Thun - Servette	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Thun - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sion - Thun	3:2 ✺
02.09.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT
- SC Kriens
Swiss Challenge League
18.09.26	Kriens - Étoile Carouge	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Aarau - Kriens	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Kriens - Lausanne Ouchy	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Kriens	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kriens - Stade Nyonnais	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.06.25	Thun - Kriens	3:4
18.01.25	Thun - Kriens	1:2
Swiss Challenge League
02.04.22	Thun - Kriens	3:1
05.03.22	Kriens - Thun	0:1
26.11.21	Thun - Kriens	3:1
31.07.21	Kriens - Thun	1:3
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Thun - Kriens	1:2

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