Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 3d 1h 📅 Remind Me


	Lausanne-Sport		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.45	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.50
	2.45	3.60	2.60
	2.55	3.85	2.65
	2.51	3.61	2.61	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.55
	2.47	3.68	2.51	Watch
	2.42	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.5)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	2.55 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
37.9%

Draw
25.4%

Thun
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.1%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

25.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Lausanne Sport - Thun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 1.

Lausanne-Sport is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Thun has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Thun may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lausanne-Sport has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:37 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lausanne-Sport against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Thun	11	3	1	7	19:30	-11	10
12	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Thun: 0.55% Lausanne: 0.35%

Last Results with these Odds

Lausanne-Sport - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.36%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
25.10.26	Sion - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	Lausanne-Sport - Servette	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vaduz - Lausanne-Sport	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
25.10.26	Thun - Lugano	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Thun - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
18.10.26	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Twente - Thun	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.10.26	Zürich - Thun	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
02.09.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	0:0
12.02.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	5:1
30.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1
03.08.25	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:1
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2
Swiss Challenge League
19.05.23	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	3:3
19.03.23	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	1:3

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