Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)

Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Lausanne-Sport		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.95	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.88
	2.25	3.95	3.02
	2.21	3.73	2.97	Watch
	2.15	3.72	3	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.78 ↑ (3.73)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lausanne-Sport
43.2%

Draw
24.9%

Thun
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.4%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lausanne-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	11.8%	35.3%

Lausanne Sport - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Thun will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Thun (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Thun (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Thun (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 3 - 30%). Thun (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Letica K. (G) 2. Soppy B. 54. Lippo R. 5. Okoh B. 18. Poaty M. 38. Sigua G. 8. Roche J. (C) 91. Mollet F. 27. Lekoueiry B. 9. Bair T. 70. Diakite G.	24. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 19. Bamert J. 23. Burki M. (C) 27. Heule M. 77. Meichtry F. 6. Bertone L. 16. Roth J. 78. Matoshi V. 18. Ibayi C. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
20. Abdallah H. 7. Ajdini A. 77. Al Saad M. 16. Beloko N. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 1. Castella T. (G) 10. Custodio O. 93. Fofana S. 22. Kana-Biyik E.	37. Dahler L. 30. Eicher J. (G) 33. Gutbub M. 7. Imeri K. 8. Janjicic V. 96. Labeau B. 4. Montolio G. 70. Reichmuth N. 20. Rupp N.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Lekoueiry B. ⚽, Diakite G. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Bair T. (Pen),
24', Rastoder E. 🟨,
43', Bertone L. 🟨,
45', Mollet F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fehr F. ↓, Montolio G. ↑,
46', Matoshi V. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
50', Rastoder E. 🟨,
50', Letica K. 🟨,
58', Heule M. 🟨,
59', Meichtry F. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
61', Mollet F. ↓, Beloko N. ↑,
62', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen),
73', Roth J. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
74', Diakite G. ↓, Kana-Biyik E. ↑,
74', Sigua G. ↓, Butler-Oyedeji N. ↑,
76', Ibayi C. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
78', Custodio O. 🟨,
81', Soppy B. 🟨,
90+5', Kana-Biyik E. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 1.

Recent performances by Lausanne-Sport have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lausanne-Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Mouanga K. (Yellow Cards) Sow K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Thun: Kait M. (Foot Injury) Ziswiler N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Ajdini A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lausanne-Sport won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:38. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lausanne-Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Lausanne-Sport - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.8%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lausanne-Sport
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
23.11.25	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Sion	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Lausanne-Sport - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.11.25	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
22.11.25	Thun - Lugano	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Servette - Thun	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Thun - Sion	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Thun - Winterthur	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sion - Thun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
03.08.25	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:1
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2
Swiss Challenge League
19.05.23	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	3:3
19.03.23	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	1:3
21.10.22	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:1
02.09.22	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:0
Club Friendly
15.01.21	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	1:3

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