Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.42	3.56	2.2
	3.18	3.58	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.11	3.51	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.42)	3.46 ↓ (3.89)	2.15 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
29.5%

Draw
27%

Shandong Taishan
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.1%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

23.6%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance.

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong Taishan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shandong Taishan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 11. Xie Weijun 4. Yang Fan 5. Grau J. 3. Wang Zhenghao 8. Xadas 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 14. Huang Jiahui 9. Quiles A. 7. Guilherme Schettine	36. Liu Qiwei (G) 17. Merkies R. 33. Gao Zhunyi 23. Alvaro P. 15. Shi Songchen 29. Chen Pu 24. Duan Liuyu 8. Guilherme Madruga 37. Chen Zeshi 9. Cryzan (C) 19. Zeca
Substitutes
39. Cai Chengjun 24. Chen Zhexuan 20. Ji Shengpan 27. Li S. 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 33. Naibo Ninglin 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 6. Wang Xianjun 26. Zhang Haoran (G)	35. Huang Zhengyu 11. Liu Yang 22. Li Y. 3. Peng Xiao 42. Peng Y. 10. Qazaishvili V. 32. Sun Qihang (G) 6. Wang Tong 7. Xie Wenneng 2. Yang Ruiqi 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 5. Zheng Zheng
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Su Maozhen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Quiles A. ⚽, Guilherme Schettine (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Shi Songchen ↓, Peng Xiao ↑,
46', Duan Liuyu ↓, Qazaishvili V. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Zeca ⚽, Chen Pu (A),
55', Merkies R. ↓, Xie Wenneng ↑,
57', Guilherme Madruga 🟨,
62', Wang Qiuming ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
67', Alvaro P. 🟨,
68', Guilherme Schettine (Penalty Awarded),
71', Guilherme Madruga ↓, Huang Zhengyu ↑,
73', Xadas 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Chen Zeshi ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
88', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
88', Grau J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
88', Chen Zeshi ↓, Li Y. ↑,
90+6', Yang Fan 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Shandong Taishan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shandong Taishan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Cordoba A. (Injury)

There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Yu Jinyong (Inactive)

There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shandong Taishan	26	13	4	9	46:43	3	37
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Liaoning Tieren - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLL
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Shandong Taishan - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Shandong Taishan - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
01.11.25	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
14.06.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	1:0
18.10.24	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	4:1
21.05.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	1:1
18.08.23	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0
20.05.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	3:3
03.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	4:1

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