The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ticino 55.2%
Draw 26.5%
Derthona 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
26.7%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
24.6%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ticino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ticino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Parravicini N. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Parravicini N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
Ticino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Derthona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Ticino is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ticino to win the game is with odds 1.64.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Ticino won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Ticino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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