Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Tiferno Lerchi		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.4	3.15	2.6
	2.4	3.15	2.55
	2.39	3.32	2.47
	2.5	3.28	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiferno Lerchi
37%

Draw
27.8%

Arezzo
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.2%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiferno Lerchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiferno Lerchi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiferno Lerchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiferno Lerchi - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiferno Lerchi
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.11.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Tiferno Lerchi	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Foligno	0:1 ✺
24.10.21	Rieti - Tiferno Lerchi	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Trestina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWWT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
07.11.21	SanGiovanniValdarno - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Arezzo - Cascina Valdera	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Follonica Gavorrano - Arezzo	4:1 ✺
17.10.21	Arezzo - Foligno	3:2 ✺
10.10.21	Rieti - Arezzo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

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