Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tigre 2		Instituto 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.85	2.87
	2.23	2.88	3.00
	2.69	2.93	3.39
	2.61	2.49	3.29	Watch
	2.65	2.4	3.35
	2.46	2.96	3.07
	2.36	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.18)	2.77 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
37.2%

Draw
33.3%

Instituto 2
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Instituto 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tigre 2 - Instituto 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Ferreyra R. ⚽,

Preview

Tigre 2 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Instituto 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre 2 - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
19.06.26	Tigre 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:2 ✺
10.06.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Tigre 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Instituto 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.06.26	Instituto 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
03.06.26	Instituto 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:3 ✺
27.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
21.05.26	Instituto 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
04.02.26	Instituto 2 - Tigre 2	1:0
14.11.23	Tigre 2 - Instituto 2	2:1 penalties
11.07.23	Tigre 2 - Instituto 2	0:1

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