Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Tigre 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.15
	2.65	3.10	2.35	Watch
	3.31	3.21	2.18
	3.27	3.08	2.19	Watch
	3.20	2.90	2.10
	2.84	3.61	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.84)	3.17 ↑ (2.92)	2.21 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
29.9%

Draw
28.8%

San Lorenzo 2
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tigre 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

Tigre 2 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Lorenzo 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Lorenzo 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tigre 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.06.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Tigre 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
10.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Instituto 2	2:2 ✺
04.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
28.05.26	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Racing Club 2	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
13.09.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Tigre 2	0:1
24.07.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Tigre 2	1:0
25.06.22	Tigre 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2

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