Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 6

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Luis Carlos Galan Sarmiento (Soacha)


	Tigres		Valledupar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.83	3.1	4.8
	1.79	3.1	4.4
	1.87	3.17	5.07
	1.8	2.9	4.75
	1.83	3.18	4.45
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 (1.81)	3.08 ↓ (3.39)	4.65 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
50.6%

Draw
29.7%

Valledupar
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.2%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Tigres - Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Valledupar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigres won 1.

Recent matches Tigres is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valledupar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valledupar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tigres is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tigres won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigres won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
05.03.23	Orsomarso - Tigres	2:0 ✺
01.03.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Tigres	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Tigres - Internacional de Palmira	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Tigres	1:0 ✺
13.02.23	Tigres - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
05.03.23	Valledupar - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Real Cartagena - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.02.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
11.02.23	Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
14.08.22	Valledupar - Tigres	1:1
03.04.22	Tigres - Valledupar	3:2
15.08.21	Valledupar - Tigres	0:0
27.03.21	Valledupar - Tigres	0:0
17.10.20	Tigres - Valledupar	1:1
26.08.19	Tigres - Valledupar	1:2
10.03.19	Valledupar - Tigres	2:2

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